Last week, due to market panic over the German government and Mt. Gox creditors’ sell-off, the price of Bitcoin experienced heavy downward pressure, falling below the 120-day price range and briefly dropping to $53,219.
However, according to analysts at Bitfinex, derivative market indicators suggest that the price of Bitcoin may have started to stabilize and that the asset may have reached a local low. According to The Block, the Bitfinex analysts stated to the media that the implied volatility and historical volatility gap has narrowed by nearly 90%, indicating that traders expect the Bitcoin price to remain within a range and stabilize. On the other hand, while open interest in options contracts shows a lack of confidence in both bullish and bearish directions, the selling pressure from short-term holders may be nearing its end.
The Bitfinex analysts stated, “Although we see long-term Bitcoin holders continue to realize significant profits in their spot positions, the selling pressure from short-term holders may be nearing its end. We note that the short-term holder’s spent output profit ratio (SOPR) is 0.97, indicating that this group is currently selling at a loss. Historically, when this situation occurs and the selling pressure eases, prices usually rebound.”
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